Alcolizer
This weekend sees our final round of the year, the final round of the first half of the fixtures, and we get a real good guide after everyone has played each other once where the teams stand against each other. South Perth will finish top, but who will be bottom? Odds are short it will Bassendean even if they win but their is an outside chance they can climb a spot if results go their way.

SORRENTO v MANNING

SORRENTO
C Lander, R Cunningham, M Hulbert, I Linford
S Rixom, A Barron, R Butler, G Taylor
D Brown, S Loftus, P Flack, L Oldham
K McIlroy, B Eagles, P Murray, P Morgan
INS: No change
OUTS:

MANNING
B Butler, T Mitchell, S Patterson, G Quann
L Such, N Jones, P Ker, M Ellis
L Grigg, A Heal, M Kemp, L Herbert
S Knott, A Williams, M Allan, S O'Brien
INS: No change
OUTS:

The middle of Mannings horror run of games sees them playing Sorrento at Sorrento, and really needing a win to get their season on track. There may be a late out as Shane Knott who flew in from NSW yesterday and may have to quarantine due to the outbreak in that state. He will be a huge out if unable to play. Sorrento though are flying and they wouldn't care if he is was playing or not, after beating South Perth last week and facing the 9th placed team at home, Sorrento would be very confident of a win. Interestingly the skippers table sees all 4 current Sorrento skippers with a positive score difference, while all 6 used by Manning are negative, albeit 3 of them by only 1 shot. What can we draw on from that stat? Manning are probably not far away and losing the rinks by not much, while Sorrento playing with all the confidence of a team winning.
Sorrento to win here but by single digit margin, pending the availability of Knott
Sorrento 6-2

OSBORNE PARK v CAMBRIDGE

OSBORNE PARK
N Stevens, T Weir, T Ingram, G Smith
G Caffell, C Biddle, R Lawrence, I Lilburne
C Packer, J East, E Martin, M Rollings
R Brown, K Pickering, S O'Neill, G King
INS: C Biddle, T Ingram
OUTS: P Allen, A Pasalich

CAMBRIDGE
C Adams, R Bolton, N Bolton, W Manning
S Rushforth, S Buckley, A Foster, A Ness
B Nairn, D Jones, C Wooldridge, D Leeson
C Harris, N Lewis, P Potts, G Allen
INS: No change
OUTS:

2nd vs 7th here but looking at the percentage sees a very different story, Cambridge with the 4th best % with Osborne Park the 5th best. So this game will be a lot closer than people purely looking at the ladder might think. Cambridge have lost 5 games by a total aggregate of 23 shots, 15 of them in one game, so Cambridge need to find a way to win as they are putting themselves in good positions to do that. Osborne Park look purely to be 2nd on the back of Cody Packer, who has only lost the 1 game but his partners in crime are all 50% win rate or worse, and all have a negative shots differential. It is proving to me that you beat Cody and you are well on the way to beating Osborne Park. The one game Cody lost - the team lost to South Perth. Let's hope Clive Adams and Cody Packer draw each other, would be a cracker.
Cambridge 6-2

ROSSMOYNE v DOUBLEVIEW

ROSSMOYNE
J Carter, C Edson, D Price, M Barrett
E Gollan, R Vind, D Haddow, A Herbert
R Lang, R Halse, S Bartlett, B Cranswick
A Petchell, W Harvey, T Churcher, G Maesepp
INS: No change
OUTS:

DOUBLEVIEW
R Moyle, B White, L Thorn, T Whitfield
C Slavich, G Nelson, A Tennant, A Wetzler
S Gosstray, S Cerff, G Faulkner, J Barry
J Slavich, S Scott, R Haring, F Williamson
INS: R Haring
OUTS: C McKenna

Prickles Thorn saw me during the week and got into me about how well his club is doing despite the loss of the 5 people off season. 8 rounds in and they are going great guns and positioned themselves well for another finals tilt. Playing Rossmoyne at Rossmoyne is no easy feat, Rossmoyne have beaten Sorrento and Cambridge there so Doubleview will not want to cruise in thinking they have won. But their gun skippers are firing, Ryan Moyle and John Slavich remain the key. Rossmoyne also has a gun skipper, Eddie Gollan only losing 2 matches to date and he sits 6th on the skippers table. They were gutsy last week against Bassendean and keen to get back home on their surface they are so familiar with, but I fear Doubleview will be too strong
Doubleview 6-2

NORTH BEACH v BASSENDEAN

NORTH BEACH
B Gillingham, M Sear, P Retallack, M Buttel
P Walker, N Costello, J Post, G Yabuka
G Devenish, P Augustson, M McConnell, J Clayton
M Douthie, G Crosthwaite, J McGinlay, L Mola
INS: No change
OUTS:

BASSENDEAN
B Manton, A Elmer, W Neilson, M Whitely
S Alden, S Fewster, R Kenyon, G Needs
D Nicholls, N Smith, M Simpson, D Killisch Von Horn
S Davies, L Pike, L McKay, B Dinnison
INS: S Fewster
OUTS: D Rhodes

Bassendean face the hardest trip in the game this season at North Beach. The speed and the wind make playing at North Beach extremely difficult, and only South Perth have managed to breach the fortress and that was at night anyway. It is a big game for both clubs as it is, a win to Bassendean and they can rightly start thinking the season is not done, a North Beach win against the bottom placed side can extend the points currently at 10.5 and make their survival stronger. Mark Douthie the leading skipper for North Beach with 5 wins, no Bassendean skipper with a positive score difference, Simon Alden on top for them with 4 wins but the season hinges with an improved win rate for Dan Nicholls. If Nicholls can break his duck I can see us having a nice win
Basso of course!

KARDINYA v SOUTH PERTH

KARDINYA
M Abonnel, G White, T Leahy, J Terrell
S Novak, B Henley, D Flintoff, R Bates
D Radford, S Perica, T Cocodis, C Vinci
D Rankin, P Davies, D Comrie, S West
INS: S Perica
OUTS: C Stokes

SOUTH PERTH
S Walker, M Biglin, P Holmes, T Reid
G Pauling, T Alberti, D Mortley, D Angell
J Opie, T Kinnane, N Griffin, K Pride
R Bresland, T Antonio, R Havercroft, J Galipo
INS: J Galipo
OUTS: F Anderson

Match of the day status for me, 1st playing 6th but so much is riding on the result for Kardinya. They already are 7 points behind 4th and they need the lions share of the points to keep in touch with finals. But it's a huge ask, Kardinya would have been a bit shitty to see South Perth lose last week, the Millers would be keen to get back on track and not drop 2 in a row. It is away for them, Kardinya is a tough venue to play at, but play the percentage shots it's not impossible. It's probably weird to think of selecting South Perth as an upset because they sit on top of the table, but thats what I am doing here.
South Perth 6-2